BLOG: Very Nice

Everything worked out as expected yesterday across the region with low humidity and temperatures in the mid 90s.

Today we should see temperatures a bit lower as slightly cooler mid-level air settles in, and rainfall prospects return tomorrow, albeit in a limited fashion. A weak cold front will push across the Great Lakes tomorrow around midday, and given the frontal forcing and a broad upper-level trough digging into the Northeast, a few showers and thunderstorms can be expected late in the afternoon or evening. The limiting factor is the relatively dry air in place, so coverage shouldn't be all that expansive. The Storm Predicting Center has a slight risk for severe storms advertised right now for the area, and we think that's likely overdone as severe weather parameters are marginal at best. So maybe an isolated thunderstorm or two could bring gusty winds or small hail, but this doesn't appear to be an organized severe weather situation.

Dry for Tuesday with Wednesday looking much different per the model guidance. The trough expected to dig into the Northeast is more robust with the latest guidance, and if this comes to fruition then Wednesday could be cloudier than advertised with more shower and thunderstorm activity. With this in mind we did lower numbers a little for Wednesday, as well as Thursday. A nice end to the week looks to be in store, and as stated yesterday the extreme heat should be held at bay, so that's something we can celebrate.

Have a great day!