I hate to say “I told you so,” but one of those occasions has certainly occurred and, well- I told you so.  The Orioles acquisition of Vlad Guerrero in February got Baltimore baseball fans excited and understandably so.  Vlad came to town carrying some pretty impressive career credentials:  an MVP award and a 9-time All-Star.   But as I pointed out in February, Vlad’s credentials were eerily similar to those of Sammy Sosa when the O’s acquired him in 2005.  Sosa, too, had won an MVP and was a 7-time All-Star.  And maybe most importantly – both Sosa and Guerrero were both 36 years old when they came to Baltimore, both obviously past their primes.

Well, the verdict is in and the disappointment has been realized and again is eerily similar.  Sosa played 102 games with the O’s in 2005, his season cut short by injury.  Guerrero reached the 102 game mark with the O’s this week.  And here’s how the numbers look.

Sosa       102 games, 380 AB, 14 HR, 45 RBI, .221 avg.

Vlad        102 games, 388 AB, 10 HR, 41 RBI, .276 avg.

The biggest difference is in batting average, but Sosa’s .221 is 52 points below his career average.   Vlad’s .276 is 41 points below his career average, so they under-performed their career averages rather closely. 

What’s worth watching next is what Guerrero does next year if he joins a decent team.  Remember, Sosa left the Orioles and played one last season with the Texas Rangers where he hit 21 HR and drove in 92 runs.  Sadly, Baltimore is a place where veterans go to die.

Posted by: Mark Viviano

Comments (2)
  1. Spiro says:

    That’s brilliant Viviano!
    Since you can’t come up with a solution to the problem (like the rest of us suffering O’s fans),you choose to portray your negativity & sarcasm.
    In your opinion no matter what the O’s do (Make a transaction / stand pat).they are wrong.
    Here’s a solution for you.Jump on & root for a bonafide winner like the Yankees or Red Sox.like many of the local pathetic fans who live here.
    After all, it’s so much easier to support a winning team.
    How long before you start rooting for the Steelers??

    1. Mark Viviano says:

      You’re merely exhibiting the difference between yourself as an avid fan and me- an impartial observer. Your over reaction to my observation is understandable because you’re frustrated. Remember, I don’t root- that”s your role, not mine. And you’re inaccurate to suggest that in my opinion “no matter what the O’s do they are wrong.” I lauded the acquisitions of JJ Hardy and the drafting and development of young pitchers in Andy MacPhail’s “grow the arms” philosophy. The signings of Derrick Lee and Vlad Guerrero were calculated risks, part of the game. Neither worked out, so you move on.

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