No changes to the forecast this morning. Everything seems to be in about as good of shape as it can be with the amount of uncertainty in the forecast. It looks like most of the rest of the holiday weekend will be dry. Other than a stray thunderstorm firing up this afternoon in the far northwestern areas, the next chance for thunderstorms will be very late in the day Monday and Monday night.
Unfortunately, it looks like the front will get hung up very close by Tuesday into Wednesday, while at the same time, Lee’s moisture will stream northward along the front. The tropical moisture colliding with the frontal boundary likely means bad news as some heavy rain will likely occur, at least at times and possibly lead to more flooding. Hopefully we get some sort of break Tuesday and I think we will at the very least get a lull in the action. Late in the week we’ll have to watch Katia, but models indicate that a turn to the northeast is most likely before reaching the U.S. coast, though it could be close.