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BLOG: Chilly October Sunday

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timwilliams

Not much to change. The only system of any significance throughout the forecast period is the upper-level low that developed from the trough that brought rain and cloud cover to the region over the past few days. This low will slowly move off to the northeast, but not before bringing scattered showers to the area over the next couple of days, unfortunately. That said, we will have some extended periods of dry weather, though little in the way of sunshine will be had.

Shower activity today is possible at any time, but the most likely time frame for wet weather appears to be this morning as a strong piece of upper-level energy rotates westward through the area. In the wake of this vorticity maxima precipitation should wane with a few peeks of sunshine possible, but given how cold the air is aloft a shower or two cannot be ruled out across the area during the afternoon.

The next piece of energy pinwheels in late this afternoon and evening with showers increasing in coverage/intensity for a time, but then drier air will once again work in overnight. Showers will become more likely once again tomorrow afternoon as the next piece of energy rotates through. It’s difficult to say exactly how much rainfall can be expected through this time frame given the scattered nature to the showers, but a general tenth of an inch of rain seems a decent bet. Improvement will be had for Tuesday with much better weather on tap for Wednesday and beyond as a strong upper-level ridge moves in from the Plains. This will bring temperatures to normal, and then above-normal levels as we head into next weekend. We’re paying it forward…beautiful weather is right around the corner!

Have a great day!

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