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Mark Zinno: 137th Preakness Predictions

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138th Kentucky Derby

I know it’s a little early, but I am heading out on vacation and wanted to give my “unofficial” prediction for the race. I liked Dullahan in the Derby, who finished third.

Remind you, it’s Wednesday… post positions have not been drawn and morning line odds are not out. So with that, I will make this bold prediction that I’ll Have Another will NOT be the morning line favorite. Despite his win in the Derby, I’ll Have Another will probably be the second favorite behind Bodemeister. The splits that Bodemeister ran in the Derby will have him as the favorite in a shorter rack and typically a faster track. I won’t be surprised to see a lot of money move on I’ll Have Another and possibly be the post time favorite. At least one of these two horses should finish in the money.

Other horses I like are Went The Day Well. Ridden by veteran jockey John Velasquez, this horse rallied in the Derby from 17th to finish fourth. With a smaller field and more room to run, this horse should be able to keep up with the pace setters. Optimizer could make some noise early, but don’t know how much he can on against them. Tiger Walk, a Maryland-owner and trained horse at Sagamore Farms, may be able to make a run at this. The same operation that posted a 46-1 long shot that won at the Breeders Cup, could pull off the same thing here.

My three horses that finish in the money: Went The Day Well, Bodemeister and Tiger Walk

Enjoy one of the best days in Maryland sports!

-Zinno

follow me on Twitter @MarkZinno

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