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WEATHER BLOG: Calm & Chilly

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timwilliams

A rather benign forecast over the next several days as an upper-level trough over the Northeast, part of which contains the remnants of Sandy, finally clears out of the region. A weak disturbance will pass by to the south late Sunday into Monday, but no precipitation is expected for our area. Temperatures through the weekend will be below average with highs generally in the lower 50s and overnight lows in the mid 30s. Factor in the wind and it will feel even cooler.

As we head into the upcoming work week, high pressure will build southeastward from Canada, settling overhead before shifting to the northeast Tuesday into Tuesday night. This will come as an upper-level trough amplifies over the Deep South, becoming negatively tilted over the Southeast. This will promote storm development along the Carolina coast with the only question then being the track of the developing storm. One complicating factor will be with a trailing upper-level disturbance and how it will interact with the leading piece of energy. It remains to be seen how strong the trailing disturbance will be, so committing to any particular model solution at this point would be foolish. For now we’ll carry a chance of rain Wednesday into Thursday, which seems reasonable since nearly all reliable guidance suggest rainfall for the I-95 corridor. In theory the week should come to an end with sunshine returning and warmer weather slowly working in next weekend… let’s hope this comes to fruition.

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