High pressure to the west slides south and east today and the center should be off the coast of North Carolina this evening. That high provides plenty of dry air, sunshine and a seasonably warm afternoon for us today with low humidity. A really nice day. As the high slides farther to the southeast tonight and tomorrow, the next system will be sliding eastward. It’s not a very strong frontal system, but will be responsible for some severe weather today into tonight from Iowa and northern Missouri to central and northern Illinois. We won’t be as cool tonight as we are this morning, but still a dry and comfortable night tonight with a few clouds drifting across the sky, mainly late tonight. The west to southwest flow around the departing high will transport a little more low level moisture into the area tomorrow with dew points coming back into the low 60s, perhaps middle 60s by the end of the day. We should warm nicely during the morning with the southwest breeze and intervals of sunshine, but the approaching short wave and the increasing moisture means the the showers and thunderstorms that progress eastward tonight and tomorrow morning will be moving across our area tomorrow afternoon into tomorrow night. It doesn’t look like things come together enough for us for any real threat of severe weather, but there will be at least a couple of showers and a thunderstorm crossing the area tomorrow afternoon (especially after 2-3 pm) right on into the first part of tomorrow night. The high end for amounts looks like it would be 0.50″, but most places will be at 0.25 of an inch or less. Behind this short wave, we won’t really have any forcing for a shower or thunderstorm later tomorrow night or during the day Monday, but with intervals of sunshine, increasing warmth and dew points in at least the low 60s, we have to watch for a stray shower or thunderstorm to pop up Monday afternoon.


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