On the weather map we have surface high pressure that is centered near the Vermont-New York border and stretches westward out into the Midwest.
The old front is still sitting well east in the Atlantic and stretches southwestward near the coast of the Carolinas.
There have been several waves of low pressure riding northward along the front in recent days, each one a little farther north. As the center of the high moves off the coast of southern New England Saturday night and Sunday morning, another wave will be developing down along the front near the coast of North Carolina.The models have had a hard time being consistent with one another on how far north the moisture gets ahead of and with the wave beginning Saturday night through Sunday. Although those questions are still not fully answered, we think we have the forecast played for any future necessary adjustments to be transitioned to with ease. This wave will be offshore and moving away to the northeast Sunday night, but some low level moisture will linger in the wake of this wave.
We also have the trough/upper level low now from Illinois to Louisiana that will be lifting out and perhaps sending some moisture and energy toward us Monday and away from us Tuesday.