On the weather map we have high pressure centered over upstate New York Saturday morning. Also broad low pressure centered between the east coast of Florida and Bermuda. This is a frontal type low and not a tropical low. We also have a cold front from western Minnesota southward into Texas. In the mid and upper levels, we have a northward bulging ridge from the western Gulf all the way up into eastern Ontario and Quebec and a trough southward through the western Atlantic. We also have the trough out through the central and northern Plains supporting the cold front in the middle of the country.
Going forward, the bulk of the upper level energy with the system in the middle of the country will ride northeastward at the same time energy spinning down the back side of the western Atlantic trough causes it to deepen a little and draw the low pressure between Bermuda and the east coast of Florida right now northward while gaining some strength. The models haven’t exactly been consistent with timing, track, but they have pretty much all agreed that the track stays far enough to the east over the Atlantic to keep any potential impacts as far as some showers or a little rain spinning westward basically to eastern Long Island and up through eastern New England late Sunday night and Monday.