WEATHER BLOG: Mild Saturday

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Tim Williams 370x278

Today certainly the pick of the weather through the forecast period for those who like things on the mild, dry and sunny side. This as we have a southwesterly flow to the south of an Arctic cold front north of the Great Lakes and high pressure centered down over the Carolinas. The warming is also going to be aided on the southern side of an arctic cold front. The combination of the high and the front stretched across the northern Great Lakes will bring an increase to the pressure gradient, so we’ll have a slight breeze by this afternoon with those temperatures running up well above average. Meanwhile, low pressure into the central Gulf of Mexico will become more organized today, then track northeastward from Mobile, AL this evening to the GA-SC border tomorrow morning, then quickly north-northeastward to our east tomorrow afternoon and evening. North of this system we should see an increase in cloud cover tonight, before rain arrives Sunday A.M. and pulls away late afternoon. The fact that the high pressure to the south today departs to the east and we get so mild today means we are not going to be in for any frozen precipitation from this storm, but as you head farther west and north into the higher elevations of Maryland, Pennsylvania, and then farther north up into New England, there will be some frozen precipitation from this system with the highest threat for any travel impacts in northwestern New England where some of that arctic cold air to the north slips in for a time ahead of the low. In terms of impact weather for us, there could be some minor flooding that occurs, as the rain will be solid for about 8 hours and and probably heavy, at least at times, with amounts generally in the 1-2 inch range. Most places 1-1.5 inches, but will be as much as 2 and perhaps a sliver somewhere out of the heaviest rain that gets more like 0.75″. Definitely a pouring rain. And with the track of the low just up to our east, temperatures stay down tomorrow.

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