WEATHER BLOG: Memorial Day Weekend
As some drier air above the boundary layer we're expecting clouds in the area early today to start breaking for some sunshine in most of the coastal cities.
We still expect a brand new cold front to make a strong push through the Northeast's interior this afternoon.
A low pressure system located in the Great Lakes early today is destined to move northeastward and into Canada, but it will also be pulling the cold front through the I-95 corridor this afternoon.
Ahead of this front, it will become increasingly windy this afternoon. This wind, which will be out of the west, will allow for a significant warming to take place.
Therefore, all of those places that were no higher than the 50s or 60s yesterday will have no trouble reaching the 70s later today. The past couple of days, we've been talking about the possibility of a shower this afternoon as this cool front pushes through -- although current runs of the forecast models aren't all that impressed with this idea.
It does look like, although the moisture will be lacking, portions of upstate New York, western New England and northeastern Pennsylvania may get a brief shower this afternoon.
We're using recent radar trends in southern Michigan early this morning as our rationale for at least 'mentioning it could shower' before the day is through.
Tonight will bring a mainly clear sky, and it will become chilly.
A large ridge of high pressure will be drifting eastward across the central Appalachians, and it will provide the region with a cool and dry start to the Memorial Day weekend.
Afternoon temperatures on Saturday will be no higher than the 60s in many places, and it will also be breezy. It won't be a 'perfect beach day', but there'll still be a good deal of sunshine.
As the holiday weekend wears on, it will be warmer on both Sunday and Monday.
Just how much warmer it will get by Monday will depend upon the location.
For example, the mercury should make a serious run at 90 degrees in areas south of the Mason-Dixon Line on Monday afternoon. However, much of the Northeast will be no higher than the 70s or the lower 80s.
There's still an issue regarding just 'how far north and east' a warm front will get on Monday and Monday night. For example, the European global model is printing out more than half an inch of rain along the border between Pennsylvania and the southern tier of New York on Memorial Day, while the G.F.S. is displacing this activity about 100 miles farther to the north. So, we should still be allowing for a couple of showers and thunderstorm around here on Monday afternoon and Monday night, due to the 'uncertainty' which still exists.
But on Tuesday and Wednesday, with a high pressure system consolidating
