WEATHER BLOG: Warmup Ahead

With high pressure off the east coast and the nearest storm system well to the north near the Hudson Bay, a pleasant day can be expected today. Temperatures getting above freezing, combined with a southwest wind will allow for a good deal of snowpack melt today. Temperatures tonight will then get down to near freezing in the cities… in the suburbs below freezing temperatures are likely and some slick spots could once again develop. These will be short lived though as once the sun rises tomorrow they will quickly disappear. Snowmelt tomorrow will be even more that what we saw today with much warmer high temperatures, a longer time spent above freezing, and more direct sunlight. Temperatures are not expected to get below freezing again tomorrow night, so slick spots will not be a concern. Snow melt will continue.

On Monday a storm moving across Canada will bring increasing warmth to the region. Highs in the 50s are likely up and down the coast, and a few showers can't be ruled out late in the day. Behind that storms front temperatures will move just slightly downward overnight and on Tuesday but not much, with a major storm system moving into the upper midwest. On Wednesday this powerful storm will lift through the Great Lakes, putting us in the warm sector where we will see near record warmth, but also rain. Moving into the later portions of this week will see another cool-down, as the
upper trough works its way east.

When the trough gets to the east coast, we can be sure a baroclinic zone will set up near the northeast, allowing a storm to develop along the boundary and ride north along the forward flank of the trough. The question, at this time, is how amplified will the trough be and how quick will it move. There is some modeling right now showing a fast moving but still impactful winter storm late this coming week into next weekend. We need to continue to monitor for changes regarding the evolution of the trough.