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Jeremy Conn: NFL Picks Week 11 ATS...

Last week I went 4-2 and  Hit my Lock of the week.  So far on the season I'm   33-24-3 and 6-5 in my Locks of the week.

CONN-CRETE LOCK - Broncos... As soon as I saw the line, I knew who my lock of the week was going to be.  The Bronco's are favored by 9.5... The largest spread a team that's undefeated has been an underdog this late in the season.  The Broncos are 4th in run defense, and the Chiefs offense is predicated off of the run.  Alex Smith wont make plays in the passing game... Broncos win by at least 2 td's.

Ravens and the Over - I rarely bet both sides of a game, but i like this game to be a high scoring game and I think the Ravens win.  I know the Ravens have been a bad road team, but I think they can run and throw on this Bears defense. Flacco and Ray Rice both have a big game this weekend.

Steelers - I think the Steelers will put up a bunch of points on the Lions secondary.  I see Big Ben making Big Plays this weekend.  The Lions are on a back to back road trip and they are not a good road team in my opinion.   Having the Steelers in a pickem type game...Ill take the home team.

49ers - The 49ers are a 3.5 point underdog in a must win situation.  The Saints are undefeated at home but i like taking a good team getting more than 3 points.  This isn't the Cowboys defense that the Saints are playing and i believe the 49ers can get stops.

Texans - I like the Texans to get a win here. They are playing against one of the worst pass defenses in the league.  Right now it looks like Matt Mcgloin will get the start at QB for the Raiders.  I believe the Texans pass rush will give him fits and Case Keenum will make some big plays in the Passing game.

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