BALTIMORE (WJZ) — The Baltimore Orioles had an impressive start at the beginning of the season, going 7-0, but here is what the statisticians at FiveThirtyEight are saying about Baltimore’s chances of continued success:

The statistics site currently has the Orioles going exactly .500, with 81 wins and 81 losses.

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As of today, they say the Orioles have a 31 percent chance of making it to the playoffs, which is unfortunately down from the 38 percent held earlier this week after two losses to the Tampa Bay Rays.

The FiveThirtyEight experts believe the Orioles only have a 17 percent chance of winning the American League division, predicting the Red Sox are the most likely team to take the AL East title.

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As for winning the whole thing? The odds are just 3 percent. (So you’re saying there’s a chance…)

According to the site, the Cubs are the most likely team to win the Series, while the Braves and Phillies are battling to be the worst team in Major League Baseball.

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You can check here for updated odds throughout the season.