Every year I pick the bowl games against the spread. Believe it or not I’m pretty good at finding winners here. I feel like most gamblers don’t look at these games the right way. A few things to look at…
1. Location of the game – People tend to look at which team has the better record or was ranked during the season. Western Michigan is a perfect example of this. They Play a school from a big conference and they play them in Michigan. Home crowd will be in favor of the Broncos.
2. Coaching situation – Perfect example of this are Arizona st, Pittsburgh, Houston, and UCLA. Some situations have coaches leaving a good team for a bigger program (teams play down in these situation) and others have talented teams that want to send a message after a coach was fired and they typically show up and play well.
3. Teams that are let down – Teams that fall into this category are Oklahoma State, Houston, and Oklahoma. Teams that feel like they should be in a better bowl game but because of the BCS or late season losses cost them an opportunity.
I’ll be posting my picks… so check it out and see how I do.